Global Warming Has Accelerated Significantly

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https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025GL118804

Abstract

Recent record-hot years have caused discussion over whether global warming has accelerated. Previous analysis found acceleration (i.e., increase in warming rate) has not yet reached a 95% confidence level, given natural temperature variability. We remove the estimated influence of three main natural variability factors: El Niño, volcanism, and solar variation. The resulting adjusted and thus less “noisy” data show that there has been acceleration with over 98% confidence, with faster warming over the last 10+ years than during any previous decade.

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Figure 3 and Figure 4 are wild.

The main point of the paper is that “yes, warming has accelerated”.

But figure 3 and figure 4 show us HOW MUCH. According to their charts, the rates of warming basically held steady between 1960 and 2015 in a long plateau, then basically doubled in an instant. Doubled. And they are really certain of it.


Each problem accelerates the others :(


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